I would like to Thank
the readers of the blog and specially people from my workplace. Your
encouragement means a lot to me.
An artista always needs patrons of his art, a writer needs
its readers, a performer its admirers, and an extortionate economic policy its
subsidies.
A half page ad in Deccan Chronicle about the recent govt
scheme jointly floated by ESSL (Energy Efficiency Services Ltd.) and local
Discoms caught my eye in a train journey returning from home.
Since you do not have much to do in a train journey, I
floated the idea for discussion to my co-travelers including a govt. employee, techie,
businessman, and two MBA lads and a cynic (me).
The Issue: In
order to fuel government's plan to boost energy efficiency, ESSL (Energy
Efficiency Services Ltd.) and local Discoms are going to offer LED bulbs which cost
Rs. 400 as an exchange for 2 incandescent bulbs costing Rs. 10 each to every household
under the DELP scheme.
More than the policy what shocked me is the ill-informed and
whimsical nature of opinions which we have as citizens to the state of affairs
around us. Interestingly, these opinions differ so vastly when you change the
strata of their economic and social exposure. That makes for another story some
other time.
I am totally supportive of the intent of the policy but am
in ardent opposition with the implementation vision of the policy. Let me
explain why.
The govt decides to subsidize Rs. 400 per bulb in order to
increase the efficiency of energy used per capita by promoting the usage of the
LED bulbs, which is by far not a commodity which can be clubbed as a public
utility good. So the government is spending the taxpayer’s money to allot a
commodity which can be termed as a good of private choice.
This policy is similar to an instance where the government
plans to spend money to subsidize the sale of 5 star rated air conditioners and
offer it at 90% discount for the public.
I do not doubt the intent and but the benefit transfer to
the people who would be the benefactors of this scheme. The policy flaw
is in the implementation that should fail as the benefit of the subsidy would
be transferred to the wrong class of people.
The question we should be asking is who would be the direct
benefactors of the scheme and by subsidizing a public good, is the government
not meddling with the market forces which are at play?
Through some statistics of the Discoms, it was estimated
that 4 lakhs LED bulbs working at a 100% uptime could transfer a benefit of 191 million
units in a year, i.e., roughly translated to a cost benefit of 275 million (as
per current Andhra Pradesh rate of 1.45/ unit).
From economic and moralistic standpoint energy efficiency is
one golden deer which we must pursue but importantly we should not lose the sight
of implications and aftermaths the chase could lead to.
Better energy efficiency is a need of the hour for power
undermined country like ours.
We must not forget that whole pandemonium of the show
depends upon the uptime usage of the LED and the quantum of discount rate
viz-a-viz the market price. The uptime of bulbs in India are hardly more than 6-8 hours which makes the time period for an 100% uptime extend by 3x.
India should be focusing on understanding the interplay of power
pricing and the way it impacts its consumers. As long as the consumer feels
that power is cheap and doesn’t take real chunk of consumer’s earning. It will
be frittered away. This anomaly can be balanced by inducing carbon pricing in energy
subsectors of consumption and energy usage, both in commercial as well as residential.
Globally, we are slowly approaching the age of annulling all the externalities
involved in the energy sector. Its time India should take this up seriously. The
moment these factors start kicking in the prices of energy consumption will go
up, leading up to the purchases of energy efficient equipment.
Opinion : Soyabeans, Washing machines and Pigs was a key
reason for US China Trade War
Interestingly, we are only looking for a solution at the user
end of the problem. Indian government should start addressing issues at the
power generation, transportation and transfer level. We need to invest in
upgrading our infrastructure by notches to match the international standards. India’s
transmission facilities infrastructures are eons behind in terms of zero loss energy
transmission capabilities and the new state of the art smart grid concepts. The
11th 5 year plan intended to 62,000 MW capacity generation plan, but
ended up 34,500 MW now put this in perspective of Duke Energy of US, which
alone generates 58,000 MW or an EDF of France, ranked 4th in utility
companies of the world, whose 95.9 percent of the electricity output is
CO2-free.
The economy and more importantly, the people should come forward
and agree to take the issue head on. They should not be incentivized to use or
replace bulbs and feel good about saving power. They should understand that the
things in the world which are taken for granted are not meant to be.
The government should realize that the greatest cash cow of
reforms is not always with the consumers but also at the generation and
transmission level. And O’ boy, I haven’t started to talk about the dismal and appalling
natural liquefied gas infrastructure. In the interest of reader’s attention, let’s
make it another story. :)
The government should look at a level of parity to
understand that the rates of return on its investment on the household sector
of incentivizing the bulbs is so stark than the ROI it can experience in
overhauling its dilapidated infrastructure. We have aging countries such as Japan
who are ready to give out loans at throwaway rates, which can overhaul our infrastructure in 5-7 years. Given the interest which the world is showing in India, we should scoop the advantage of resorting to
an FDI policy with a price control mechanisms in the power sector and cap
the amount of revenues or investment a company could take out of the country
for a period of 20 or 25 years.
A humble request to the
government, Please do not give easy (cheap) power to people who do not
understand the inherent value of it.
However, I
would not like to end the piece without adding some positive facts about LED
bulbs, to induce the corporates and the residential users to shift to LED.... So
watch out for my next piece.
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